Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001895 0.002015 0.002139 0.002277 0.002427 0.002585 0.002764
2025-03-30 0.001717 0.001885 0.002066 0.002277 0.002516 0.002779 0.003093
2025-04-06 0.001572 0.001767 0.001985 0.002246 0.002553 0.002904 0.003339
2025-04-13 0.001454 0.001667 0.001909 0.002208 0.002569 0.002995 0.003541
2025-04-20 0.001335 0.001553 0.001807 0.002127 0.002523 0.003002 0.003633
2025-04-27 0.001286 0.001518 0.001794 0.002149 0.002598 0.003156 0.003913
2025-05-04 0.001256 0.001504 0.001803 0.002195 0.002704 0.003351 0.004254
2025-05-11 0.001239 0.001503 0.001827 0.002260 0.002835 0.003583 0.004656
2025-05-18 0.001203 0.001476 0.001816 0.002278 0.002903 0.003734 0.004956
2025-05-25 0.001145 0.001418 0.001761 0.002235 0.002885 0.003766 0.005088
2025-06-01 0.001101 0.001375 0.001724 0.002213 0.002894 0.003832 0.005271
2025-06-08 0.001075 0.001355 0.001717 0.002230 0.002956 0.003976 0.005574
2025-06-15 0.001031 0.001312 0.001680 0.002209 0.002971 0.004062 0.005815
2025-06-22 0.000994 0.001277 0.001653 0.002200 0.003003 0.004176 0.006108
2025-06-29 0.000952 0.001233 0.001611 0.002168 0.002998 0.004235 0.006317
2025-07-06 0.000911 0.001189 0.001567 0.002131 0.002983 0.004275 0.006497
2025-07-13 0.000860 0.001129 0.001497 0.002054 0.002903 0.004208 0.006491
2025-07-20 0.000843 0.001117 0.001495 0.002074 0.002973 0.004383 0.006909
2025-07-27 0.000835 0.001116 0.001509 0.002119 0.003083 0.004626 0.007467
2025-08-03 0.000832 0.001122 0.001533 0.002181 0.003223 0.004928 0.008161
2025-08-10 0.000817 0.001110 0.001529 0.002198 0.003291 0.005114 0.008653
2025-08-17 0.000786 0.001074 0.001489 0.002157 0.003261 0.005126 0.008813
2025-08-24 0.000763 0.001048 0.001462 0.002136 0.003261 0.005192 0.009086